a winning system

William Burroughs, Tangier, 1961. 8×12″ gelatin silver (Allen Ginsberg)

The Letters of William S. Burroughs 1945-1959 is full of good stuff. It comes highly recommended.

I found myself recalling a passage from a letter written to Allen Ginsberg and Jack Kerouac on October 23, 1955 from the Benchimol Hospital in Tangiers. The reference is to Neal Cassady’s ‘system’ that would permit a fortune to be gained from racetrack betting.

...Tell Neal from me to drop the bang tails. You can't beat it. Dream hunches are not supposed to be used that way. You understand, Neal? You know what horse is going to win, but you can not use that knowledge to make money. Don't try. It's like fighting a ghost antagonist who can hit you but you can't hit him. Drop it. Forget it. Keep your money...

You know that ‘Oumuamua was partially made of hydrogen ice, but you cannot use that knowledge to produce a consensus within the scientific community.

And so forth. There’s a principle here, partially encompassed by Occam’s Razor, but partially drawing on something else. Something deeper maybe.